The NBA is a top heavy league. Though there is an abundance of talent and potential, the fruition of players realizing it is a tough and arduous process. This year Donavan Mitchell has 34 20pt games. The most of any rookie since Damien Lillard. If we look at the first 5 picks respectively in this years draft it starts to paint a picture of the hype machine that is created every year by analysts and experts who don’t have a great batting average with finding stars at all.
1st Overall: Markelle Fultz
There always seems to be an enigma in the lottery where a player is drafted surely out of name. Markelle Fultz became a household name last year. He averaged 23.2 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 5.9 assists. Great numbers yes, but his team sucked.9-22 that’s atrocious. Empty stats all day. His shot is wonky now in the nba after trying to fix it all summer and after a staggering 5 games in October, which seems like years ago. He is averaging 6 pts, 2.3 rebounds, 1.8 assists. I honestly hope he does live up to the hype and is a very good player for years to come, but let’s chalk up year one as a loss.
2nd Overall: Lonzo Ball
Better than Curry? Nope! Better than Jordan? Nope. Has the ugliest shoe ever? Debatable…( Curry’s were not so hot). But Lonzo is a serviceable guard on a surprisingly good team. Injuries have plagued him through his first season, but Lonzo is averaging 10.4 pts, 6.9 rebounds , and 7 assists per game. His shot is starting to fall. The only thing I could see impeding his progress could potentially be a superstar joining the team, in his prime who handles the ball every possession. Know what I mean.
3rd Overall: Jayson Tatum
Tatum has looked incredible for stretches and not so incredible for other stretches. 13.3 pts per game, 5 rb , 1.4 assists. The Celtics were on fire early and have flamed our somewhat lately. Tatum is realistically 2 or 3 years away from being a star in the NBA but he has that potential.
4th Overall: Josh Jackson
Great college player on a great team, but when adversity hits. It really hits. Averaging 11.7 pts, 4.3 rb, 1.3 assists on a good team as a rookie would be promising but on a bottom 3 team, it feels misleading. The Suns get blown out a lot. Garbage time buckets are the definition of empty stats. We will see if in a few years that the sum off all these young pieces creates a good team, but it has yet to be seen.
5th Overall: De’Aaron Fox
Another story of amazing college player who has been, meh so far. Averaging 11.4, 2.6 and 4.4 is decent for a rookie. Especially the fact that Sacramento is not very good at all so the fact that he is getting assists means something. But when Buddy Heild is your best player. Your team is not going to be very good.
Keep this in mind when everyone is comparing Doncic to Dirk when the comparison should probably be Bojan or Ayton to Ewing. These comparisons are great for the hype train but just remember. Hasheem Thabeet was the second overall pick in a draft.